21 March 2008

The election thing - simple thoughts

All other issues aside, and there are plenty, this thing is wrapping up:

794 superdelegates total, 332 who have not picked a candidate yet. Clinton would need over 200 of them - to get that she'd need to win the popular vote of the remaining states by about 67% (not happening).

Since March 4 Clinton has gotten 1 superdelegate, Obama got about 50 including Richardson today.

Clinton will win Penn. but by May 20 Obama will have a majority of delegates from the state primaries and caucuses (Oregon and others put him over the top by a good chunk that day).

Florida is out of a re-run. Michigan is unlikely but even if it goes, Obama polls even with Clinton there. So Obama will get it. Yay!

Make phone calls for Obama from home if you have a second:
http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/phonebankmap

On an unrelated note:
  1. "There Will be Vader"
  2. The New Republic on "Why White People Like 'Stuff White People Like'"
  3. Proposed show that will be "better than The Wire"
  4. DON'T stay off the grass - desire paths, like ants, but with people
  5. Balti cop tells all - reading for The Wire fans
Oh, and I'm going to New York to visit Ronnie next week - where should I go, what should I do/see/laugh at?

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